Uruguay collected 28 points from eighteen qualification matches—third best, on par with Colombia, Paraguay, and Brazil. Ahead of the World Cup, they struggled to secure wins: they lost to the USA back in November, and drew with Mexico, England, and Algeria. In the first round against Saudi Arabia, after conceding first, they barely managed a 1-1 draw. They also failed to beat Cape Verde, settling for a 2-2 result.
Spain, after triumphing at the Euros, stumbled in the Nations League final, losing to Portugal on penalties. Following a smooth qualification campaign (only the Turks managed a draw in the final round), in 2026, they surprisingly recorded a couple of draws in friendlies against Egypt and Iraq. However, they finished with a 3-1 win over Peru. At the World Cup, they sensationally failed to score against debutants Cape Verde, resulting in a 0-0 start. But then, against Saudi Arabia, they recorded a confident 4-0 victory.
The Latin American team averages only 1.1 goals scored per game but concedes even less, at 1.0. The European champions score 2.3 goals on average and concede just 0.4 per game.
Head-to-Head: Uruguay vs Spain
In eight meetings, Spain have never lost and have won half of them, including the last three in a row.
Yamal and company are noticeably stronger than their opponents. We believe in their win with a “-1 goal” handicap (odds – 1.82).
Uruguay vs Spain: Key Statistics and Trends
Uruguay are winless in six consecutive matches
50% of Uruguay’s matches end with goals from both teams and the average total goals per match is 2.1
Spain have drawn three of their last five matches
30% of Spain’s matches end with goals from both teams and the average total goals per match is 2.7
Uruguay vs Spain: Probable Starting Lineups
Uruguay play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Muslera – Vina, Olivera, Caceres, Varela – Bentancur, Ugarte – Araujo, Vinas, Valverde – Nunez. De Arrascaeta and R. Araujo are sidelined with injuries.
Spain play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Simon – Cucurella, Laporte, Cubarsi, Porro – Pedri, Rodri – Olmo, Baena, Oyarzabal – Yamal.
