After a fairly successful “home” Euro, where they lost only to Spain in extra time, Germany advanced to the final stage of the Nations League. They then won their qualification group and continued to secure victories in friendlies. At the World Cup, they started with a 7-1 win over Curaçao but trailed Ivory Coast for a long time—until substitute Undav’s brace secured a comeback 2-1 win. However, having scored first in the next match, they went on to lose to Ecuador.
Paraguay had not impressed for a long stretch, including three straight losses at Copa America 2024. However, they followed that with a successful qualification campaign, collecting 28 points from eighteen matches. Their much-anticipated tournament began with a heavy 1-4 defeat to the USA. But then, despite being reduced to ten men, they held on for a 1-0 win over Turkey. Afterward came a pragmatic 0-0 draw with Australia that suited both sides.
The European giant averages 3.1 goals scored and only 0.9 conceded per match. The South American side both scores and concedes an average of 1.3 goals per game.
Previous Matches: Germany vs Paraguay
In 2002, Germany won 1-0 at the World Cup. Eleven years later, the teams played to a thrilling 3-3 draw in a friendly.
Nagelsmann’s side cannot afford another misstep at this stage. We recommend betting on their victory with a “-1 goal” handicap (odds – 1.63).
Germany vs Paraguay: Key Statistics and Trends
Germany had won eleven matches in a row before the previous round
60% of Germany’s matches end with both teams scoring, with an average of 4.0 total goals per match
Paraguay has won four of their last six matches
50% of Paraguay’s matches end with both teams scoring, with an average of 2.6 total goals per match
Germany vs Paraguay: Probable Starting Lineups
Germany lines up in a 1-3-4-2-1 formation (probable lineup): Neuer, Rüdiger, Tah, Kimmich, Wirtz, Musiala, Raum, Pavlovic, Nmecha, Sané, Havertz. Schlotterbeck and Braun have joined Karl in the injury list.
Paraguay is expected to play in a 1-5-3-2 formation (probable lineup): Gil – Maidana, Caceres, Alderete, Gomez, Velazquez – Galarza, Cubas, Diego Gomez – Enciso, Avalos. Gomez is a doubt.
