Oviedo have lost only two of their last six matches

The capital’s giant ended 2025 without any trophies at all. Nothing has improved since then. In January, they lost the Super Cup final under Xabi Alonso, and his successor Arbeloa debuted with an elimination from the Copa del Rey, losing to Albacete. The Champions League campaign went better: after passing Benfica and Manchester City in the playoffs, the Spaniards lost twice to Bayern. Meanwhile, they virtually gave up competing in La Liga. Internal conflicts started as well—Tchouaméni and Valverde had an epic clash. Unsurprisingly, they lost 0-2 to Barcelona.
The club from “Nuevo Carlos Tartiere” in 2025, on its second consecutive attempt, won the playoffs and finally left the Segunda. However, success at a higher level was hard to come by for a long time. Only in the spring did the underdogs suddenly pick up form, winning frequently. Afterwards, there were draws with Villarreal and Getafe, but in a couple of recent matches, they lost again.
Statistically, Real Madrid’s stars look solid: while scoring an average of two goals per match, they concede only 0.94 on average. For the newcomer, it’s the opposite: they score just 0.74 goals on average and concede twice as many—1.54 per match.
Previous Matches: Real Madrid vs Oviedo
In August, the clubs played each other for the first time since 2002. Valverde and company, of course, won.
Despite all the hosts’ problems, they are far superior to this opponent. The prediction is for them to win with a -1.5 goals handicap (odds – 1.67).
Real Madrid vs Oviedo: Key Statistics and Trends
Real Madrid have won two of their last eight matches
57% of Real Madrid’s matches end with goals from both teams, with an average total of 2.94 goals per game
Oviedo have lost only two of their last six matches
34% of Oviedo’s matches end with goals from both teams, with an average total of 2.29 goals per game
Real Madrid vs Oviedo: Probable Starting Lineups
Real Madrid play in a 1-4-4-2 formation (probable lineup): Courtois – Carreras, Heysen, Alaba, Alexander-Arnold – Camavinga, Tchouaméni, Bellingham, Valverde – Vinicius Junior, Mbappé. Güler, Carvajal, Militão, Mendy, Ceballos, Rodrygo are definitely out; Mbappé and Valverde are doubtful.
Oviedo use a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Escandel – Alhassan, Carmo, Costas, Nacho Vidal – Fonseca, Sibo – Shaira, Reina, Hassan – Viñas. Dendoncker remains unavailable.
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