Last season, the Dortmund club snatched fourth place only at the very last moment. That allowed them to play in the Champions League, but after advancing to the playoffs and beating Atalanta 2-0, the Germans still managed to lose due to a heavy defeat in Bergamo. They were eliminated from the cup by Bayer long ago. And in the Bundesliga, there’s nothing left to fight for—they will definitely finish second. Still, they remain strong in the spring. On the other hand, motivation seems to be waning, as they’ve lost not only to Bayer but also to Hoffenheim in recent rounds.
The team from Breisgau was precisely the one pushed aside by Niko Kovač’s men in the closing stages of the 2024/2025 season. They had to settle for the Europa League—this time, the Germans reached the quarterfinals, where they overcame Celta, scoring three goals in each match. Domestically, they performed better in the cup, just this week holding Stuttgart to a draw until the 119th minute in the semifinals, but still lost. In the Bundesliga, they can no longer climb above seventh place. However, wins over Mainz and Heidenheim allow them to at least hold onto that spot—just behind Eintracht.
Guirassy and company have been pleasing the fans with their stats, averaging 2.03 goals scored per game and conceding only half as many, just 1.03. Schuster’s men have a negative balance: 1.47 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.
Previous matches: Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg
Borussia had a run of seven consecutive wins. But in December, they had to settle for a 1-1 away draw.
The hosts are expected to win, but their opponent is in good form. We’ll go with the neutral “over 2.5 goals” (odds – 1.61).
Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg: Key Statistics and Trends
Borussia Dortmund have lost twice in a row
53% of Borussia’s matches end with both teams scoring, with an average total of 3.07 goals per match
Freiburg have won seven of their last nine games
60% of Freiburg’s matches end with both teams scoring, with an average total of 3.07 goals per match
Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg: Probable Starting Lineups
Borussia Dortmund play in a 1-3-5-2 formation (probable lineup): Kobel – Bensebaini, Schlotterbeck, Anton – Svensson, Chukwuemeka, Bellingham, Sabitzer, Ryerson – Bayer, Guirassy. Süle, Nmecha, and Can are sidelined with injuries.
Freiburg use a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Atubolu – Makengo, Ogbus, Ginter, Treu – Manzambi, Eggestein – Grifo, Suzuki, Beste – Matanović. Osterhage, Rosenfelder, and Kjær are out injured.
