The Hamburg club was promoted to the top division in 2024 and, unlike their previous attempt, managed to stay, albeit with very modest results. Now, they are once again fighting for survival, but it is proving even more difficult. There was a decent run in February, but before the break, they lost both in Mönchengladbach and at home to Freiburg. However, they managed a draw with Union in the last round.
In Munich, Kompany, in his first year, essentially fulfilled the minimum task by winning the “silver salad bowl.” Now, he is clearly aiming for a quadruple. The Supercup is already secured, a cup semifinal against Bayer is ahead, and the Champions League battle with Real is ongoing—they already beat them away 2-1. In the Bundesliga, by spring, they had a lead of about ten points over their closest pursuer, Borussia Dortmund.
The relegation battler scores an average of 0.89 goals per match and concedes 1.61. The title holder dominates incredibly: 3.57 goals scored on average, so conceding 0.96 is not an issue.
Previous Matches: St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich
The 3-1 result in November was the fifth consecutive head-to-head win for Kane and company.
The only question is how big the margin of victory will be for the visitors. A bet on a handicap of “-1.5 goals” (odds – 1.95) seems reasonable here.
St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich: Key Stats and Trends
St. Pauli have failed to win in four consecutive matches
54% of St. Pauli’s games end with goals from both teams and an average total of 2.5 goals per match
Bayern have won eleven of their last twelve matches
64% of Bayern’s games end with goals from both teams and an average total of 4.54 goals per match
St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich: Probable Starting Lineups
St. Pauli lines up in a 1-3-4-2-1 formation (probable lineup): Vasilj – Ando, Wahl, Smith – Pereira Lage, Fujita, Ritzka, Irvine – Rasmussen, Pyrka – Sinani. There are many injuries: Ando, Sphari, Sands, Jones, Saliakas.
Bayern lines up in a 1-4-3-2-1 formation (probable lineup): Neuer – Kim, Upamecano, Laimer, Stanisic – Goretzka, Kimmich, Gnabry – Karl, Olise – Kane. Ulreich and Davies will not travel.
