AC Milan entertain Zvezda in the Champions League on Wednesday and the hosts look a level above their opponents.
The visitors have found this competition tough this season. Red Star did crush Germany’s Stuttgart 5-1 in their last European game but that was in Belgrade, and while the win was deserved the scoreline flattered them.
Crvena Zvezda had lost four in a row in this competition before that win and they’ve already struggled against Italian opposition, going down 4-0 at this stadium to Inter.
A home win looks highly likely and backing Milan on the handicaps is one route, but over 2.5 goals at around is the standout bet.
Red Star have shipped nine goals in total across their two away games in Europe, at Inter and Monaco, and they head to a Milan side in fine scoring form.
The Rossoneri have scored at least three goals in three of their last four games and in each of their last three Champions League fixtures – including a stunning 3-1 win at Real Madrid.
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A 4-1 win for the Serie A side is the correct score pick as Crvena Zvezda are conceding on average over three goals per-game in Europe but they have been scoring with nine goals in five games and Milan are yet to keep a clean sheet in the league phase.
Milan midfielder Tijjani Reijnders has three goals in the Champions League and has three in his last three games across all competitions. With Christian Pulisic missing for the hosts, back Reijnders to help fire them to a convincing victory.
Crvena Zvezda have lost four of their five league phase games. AC Milan have scored three or more goals in five of their six home wins this season. Crvena Zvezda have conceded nine goals across two Champions League trips.
