France reached the World Cup final in both 2018 and 2022, winning the title the first time. They are now progressing through the tournament with only victories. In the group stage, they managed to overcome Senegal, Iraq, and Norway. In the playoffs, they consecutively beat Sweden, Paraguay, and, in the quarterfinals, Morocco 2–0, despite Mbappé missing a penalty at first.
Spain is the reigning European champion. Compared to the fireworks of two years ago, they now play more pragmatically and generally more modestly. They started with a goalless draw against debutants Cape Verde. But then came victories, with clean sheets against Saudi Arabia and Uruguay in the group, as well as Austria and even Portugal in the playoffs. Only Belgium managed to beat Unai Simón. But once again, the substitute performed excellently—scoring the winning goal in the final minutes.
The runners-up of the last World Cup average 2.5 goals scored and just 0.7 conceded per match. The Euro winners look a bit more pragmatic: 1.8 goals scored and only 0.3 conceded per match.
Head-to-Head: France vs Spain
Spain has won both of the last two meetings and four out of the last six, with two defeats.
The stakes in this match are sky-high, and both teams are excellent defensively—hence the recommendation to bet on “total under 2.5 goals” (odds – 1.98).
France vs Spain: Key Statistics and Trends
France has won all matches in the tournament
60% of France’s matches end with both teams scoring, with an average of 3.2 goals per match
Spain has won five matches in a row
30% of Spain’s matches end with both teams scoring, with an average of 2.1 goals per match
France vs Spain: Probable Starting Lineups
France plays a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Maignan – Digne, Saliba, Upamecano, Koundé – Rabiot, Koné – Doué, Olise, Dembélé – Mbappé
Spain plays a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Simón – Cucurella, Laporte, Cubarsí, Porro – Fabián Ruiz, Rodri – Baena, Olmo, Yamal – Oyarzabal.
