Roma have won three of their last five matches

The club from the capital was contending with Juventus for fourth place a year ago but narrowly lost out by just one point. After that, Gasperini arrived in the summer, but he is still in the process of rebuilding the team’s play. As a result, there was an early exit from the cup and a defeat, in an even game, against Bologna in the Europa League play-offs. The players prioritized Serie A. However, even in the league, their fight for fourth place did not go smoothly. They also dropped points against Atalanta, although they later beat Bologna.

The Florence team finished sixth in 2024/2025—they managed to edge out Lazio despite having the same number of points. Still, they returned to the well-known Conference League, where the Italians reached the quarterfinals this time, losing to Crystal Palace. Domestically, they only started winning after sacking Pioli, who had arrived in the summer, and appointing Vanoli. Only from mid-February did their form improve enough for them to leave the relegation zone and secure a mid-table position. Their most recent matches against Lecce and Sassuolo ended in draws.

Roma, with an average of 1.41 goals scored per match, concedes 0.85. Vanoli’s Fiorentina have improved, but their results are still modest: 1.12 goals scored and 1.32 conceded on average.

Head-to-Head: Roma vs Fiorentina

Fiorentina once had a four-match unbeaten run, but they lost both of their last two games against the capital side.

Both clubs are having less than ideal seasons, but the hosts have more advantages—they are expected to win (odds: 1.62).

Roma vs Fiorentina: Key Statistics and Trends
Roma have won three of their last five matches
35% of Roma’s matches end with both teams scoring and the average total goals per match is 2.26
Fiorentina have won five of their last nine games
62% of Fiorentina’s matches end with goals from both teams and the average total goals per match is 2.44
Roma vs Fiorentina: Possible Starting Lineups
Roma use a 1-3-4-2-1 formation (possible lineup): Svilar – Hermoso, Ndicka, Gilardi – Rensch, Pisilli, Cristante, Celik – Pellegrini, Soulé – Malen. Kone, Pellegrini, Ferguson, and Dovbyk are still injured.

Fiorentina use a 1-4-3-3 formation (possible lineup): De Gea – Gosens, Ranieri, Rugani, Dodo – N’Dour, Mandragora, Fabian – Fazzini, Piccoli, Harrison. Out of the squad: Kean, Parisi, Goossens, and Lamptey.

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